Horizon Scans for better-for-you CPG brands

Read your category from both sides of the table.

Founders know their product. Investors know what gets bought. A Horizon Scan puts both views in one document, so a brand doing under $10M in sales and the investor looking at it can work from the same map.

One-week turnaround Built on request

Data is the map. You still need a compass.

Data services sell you scanner numbers. Trend services sell you the shifting consumer. Neither tells you what those numbers mean for the decision you're making this quarter. A Horizon Scan interprets the data for one brand and one question, so you can see which way to go. It's built only when someone asks for it. And it informs decisions before resources are allocated.

Time

A week instead of a season of evenings

Founders usually piece this picture together themselves, between production runs and buyer calls. We hand it back in a week, sourced and organized.

The bigger picture

The history and the edges, not only the shelf

What's on shelf today tells you who's there. Where the category came from and what's forming at its edges tells you where it's headed and where there's still room.

A shared read

One document for every pitch

A founder walks into an investor meeting knowing what will be asked, and the investor knows what the shelf looks like. With a distributor or a chain buyer, the same scan shows where your product fits the set they're planning and why it earns the space.

Biased research.

We don't claim to be neutral. We don't work with extractive companies, or with companies that make their profits from making people unhealthy. Every scan is written for brands trying to feed people well and for the investors backing them. We believe in generative organizations: good people doing good things, so they can better serve the people who rely on them.

Hypenotic is a Certified B Corp. If your organization screens for impact, our filter already matches yours.

Three readers, three reasons to read it

The same signal means something different depending on who's reading. Every scan carries the founder and investor lenses. Where the next step is a grocery shelf, it adds the retail buyer's.

CPG founder

Owns the shelf risk and the story

  • Which lane in the category is still open?
  • Do the COGS and unit economics line up with SRPs that will earn repeat sales?
  • Does the brand's story hold up when a buyer, a partner, or a critic checks it?
  • What will an investor ask, and what will they look up before the meeting?
Investor

Writes the check on early evidence

  • Is the category growing fast enough for a $3M brand to reach $10M? $25M? $100M?
  • How crowded is the shelf at this brand's price point?
  • What do comparable brands sell per store, and what margins do they hold?
  • Who buys brands this size, and what has made one worth buying?
Distributor or chain buyer

Decides who gets the space

  • Does this product earn a slot in the set I'm planning?
  • What does it bring that the brands already on shelf don't?
  • Can the supplier back up its claims if a shopper asks?
  • Will it sell with enough velocity to keep its slot at the next review?

Four directions, one category

Every scan reads the market from where it stands today. South is the past, East the present, West what's emerging, North the future. Each direction ends with its move: the one thing to do about what it found.

How a Horizon Scan is organized A compass centered on your category today. North reads the future, East the present, South the past, and West what is emerging. NORTH · FUTURE Where is the market going? The forces shaping the next three to five years, and what's likely to fade. EAST · NOW What is happening right now? Who's on the shelf, at what price, and why certain brands are winning. SOUTH · PAST Where did it come from? The conditions that made the category possible, and the brands that opened it. WEST · EMERGING What is just emerging? First movers and early signals where a position is still open. Your category today
  1. South · Past Where did it come from? The conditions that made the category possible, and the brands that opened it.
  2. East · Now What is happening right now? Who's on the shelf, at what price, and why certain brands are winning.
  3. West · Emerging What is just emerging? First movers and early signals where a position is still open.
  4. North · Future Where is the market going? The forces shaping the next three to five years, and what's likely to fade.

Six parts, delivered in one week

01

Category origin story

Where the market came from and which brands opened it, so you can see the contours of the landscape you're entering.

02

Who's on the shelf

Key players, formats and price points. Who's winning, who's overextended, and where store brands are taking market share.

03

Shopper segments

Who the category serves, who it misses, and what the missed shoppers want.

04

Trend and risk signals

What's pushing the category forward and what could stall it, including claims and regulatory risk. Signals are sorted by how fast they move.

05

The investor read

Who invests in brands under $10M in sales in this category, what they paid for, and the questions a fund will ask before it writes a check.

06

Priorities

Where there's room, what it would take to hold it, and the noteworthy signals worth acting on now.

Each scan arrives as a web document you can share, brief a team from, or bring to a buyer or investor meeting. It stays private to you for six months.

Sample scans

Each one uses the full method. Read them the way you'd read one about your own category.

Chili Crisp

Founder + investor lenses

A niche import that became a grocery staple in under a decade. Who got there first, where the price pressure is, and what a buyer would need to see before backing a founder-led brand.

Read the scan →

Global Flavors

Founder + investor + retailer lenses

How cuisines leave the international aisle, which ones have a breakout brand, and which still have cooks and first customers but no brand.

One of its moves: build the sales record in DTC before you pitch retail, and bet long on cuisines that governments have already paid to make familiar.

Read the scan →

Pasta Sauce

Founder + investor lenses

The jar everyone already owns, in the most crowded aisle in the store. What makes certain brands durable, which kinds of brands are still growing, and where a new brand can still stand out.

Read the scan →

A founder who sold his brand, and a firm that's worked soil to shelf

Pickles & Soup and Hypenotic build every scan together. Rick brings the operator's view. Hypenotic brings the research and foresight method.

Pickles & Soup

Rick Field

Founder Coach and Brand Builder

Rick founded the premium pickle pioneer Rick's Picks and took it from a Brooklyn apartment kitchen to a global planogram with Whole Foods and foodservice with Shake Shack and Sweetgreen. Then he sold it.

He guides brands through the strategy → finance → operations → marketing continuum, leveraging hard-won experience to build growth intelligently, decisively and thoughtfully.

Hypenotic · since 1998

Hypenotic

Barry Martin founded Hypenotic in 1998. It's a Toronto strategy and communications firm that helps good people do good things, so they can better serve the people who need them. Its food work runs the whole chain: conservation agencies helping farmers get more from their soil, farmers, dairies and a LEED-certified cheesemaker, national and provincial agribusiness, CPG naming, packaging and store displays, and an independent grocer built around small brands.

On the other side of the system, it has worked with food banks and a program that feeds 100,000 kids a day, sat on public policy food councils, and runs a not-for-profit that matches new farmers with farmers starting new ventures.

Hypenotic

Patrick Robinson

Strategy and Foresight Lead

Twenty years in advertising on large and small food and beverage brands. For fifteen of them, he also ran a café and restaurant.

He studied strategic foresight, has co-founded and sold three businesses, and is active in the Service Design Network, the Association of Professional Futurists and the Association of Registered Graphic Designers.

A different question? Same method.

The Horizon Scan reads the whole category. When your question is narrower, such as how your offer compares or what competitors are saying, we build a specific scan around that one question.

PESTLE Scan

The forces outside the category

Political, economic, social, technology, legal and environmental signals, filtered for your brand's situation.

Best for brands with international supply chains, where tariffs, trade rules, currency swings and sourcing risk can change the cost of every jar.

Value Prop Review

How your offer stacks up

Your core promise against the competitors' promises: the gaps, the overlaps, and the positions nobody has taken.

Marketing Review

What competitors do to reach buyers

Channels, claims and tone, and where competitors are spending their attention and money.

The right tool for some decisions

Good fit
  • A founder deciding on price, packaging or channel
  • A brand preparing to raise, or to talk to a buyer
  • A fund looking at a brand in a category it doesn't know well
  • A brand next to a category and weighing a move into it
  • A product concept not yet checked against the market
Not the right tool
  • You need primary consumer research or custom surveys
  • You need a full go-to-market plan and execution
  • You need legal or regulatory advice on claims or formulation
  • You need audited financial diligence on a specific company

Tell Rick which decision is in front of you.

Start with a short call about the brand and the category. Rick will confirm fit and scope before anything is commissioned. Most scans take one week.

Book a call with Rick →